10:58 p.m. ET, January 20, 2021
New data suggests "substantial increase in severity" among Covid patients in Los Angeles
From CNN’s Cheri Mossburg
The death rate among hospitalized Covid-19 patients in Los Angeles has nearly doubled in recent months, as health officials are seeing a “substantial increase in severity” among those sickened with the disease, according to new information presented by the county’s Department of Health Services (LADHS).
Since November, hospitalized patients in the county have had about a 23% chance of dying from the disease, health officials said Wednesday, a significant increase from the prior three months.
From September to November, Covid-19 patients had an approximately 12% chance of dying, according to LADHS.
There are currently more than 7,200 Covid-19 patients receiving treatment in Los Angeles County hospitals, lifting the patient census about three times higher than in previous surges. About 23% of those patients are in intensive care units, LA County health director Dr. Barbara Ferrer said in a Wednesday briefing, and about 21% are on ventilators.
The length of hospital stays for Covid-19 patients has also increased in LA County, jumping from an average of just under seven days between September and November to about 9.5 days from November to January.
“These changes – despite improvements in treatments – suggest a substantial increase in the severity of illness among hospitalized patients,” LADHS said in an update on Covid-19 modeling projections.
“This trend does not mean the virus has become more virulent or that care in hospitals worsened during the surge,” Health Services Director Christina Ghaly explained. “Rather, we believe these trends are because hospitals, facing capacity constraints in the setting of the surge, became more selective in determining which patients to admit. In other words, hospitals are discharging more of the lower acuity patients home with oxygen. They are admitting only the most critically ill patients.”
California variant: A coronavirus strain known as L452R, sometimes dubbed the California variant, is “beginning to show up in a lot more samples,” Ferrer said, though it is unclear whether that variant might have an impact on the increase in severity.
LA County added 262 Covid-19 deaths on Wednesday, for a total of 14,384 fatalities. An additional 6,492 confirmed cases brings the number of infections in Los Angeles to 1,038,092.