12:42 p.m. ET, July 16, 2019
How Sanders and Warren supporters differ
It's easy to see Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren both pulling 19% and say that you can combine these two candidates' backers to create a clear plurality. Indeed, both are top candidates when you ask voters who their second choice would be.
But there are some distinct and familiar demographic differences between the two.
Sanders supporters are much more blue collar and younger. Sanders earns 23% among those without a college degree and 26% among those under the age of 50. That drops to 9% among those with a college degree and 11% among voters 50 years and older.
In our poll, Warren does slightly better among those with a college degree than without (21% vs. 18%). She does not show the same large age gap as Sanders, taking 17% among those 50 years and older compared to 21% among those under 50 years-old.
One other very key difference is how these voters are registered. In the New Hampshire primary, voters can take part in a party's primary if they are registered with that party or registered with no party.
Sanders does better with those registered with no party (22%) than those registered as a Democrat (15%). (Biden shows a similar gap.)
Warren, on the other hand, does better among Democrats (25%) than unaffiliated voters (12%).
This matches up
with national polling that suggests Sanders voters are not anywhere near as pleased with the Democratic Party as Warren voters are.