7:58 p.m. ET, September 22, 2022
Analysis: Reports of Putin's problems are mounting
From CNN's Zachary B. Wolf
The reports out of Russia suggest a military and a leader in desperate need:
- Anti-war protesters have been arrested and conscripted directly into the military, according to a monitoring group. Those who refuse can be punished by a 15-year prison sentence.
- Convicts have been offered freedom in exchange for fighting on the front lines.
- Reservists and citizens have been called up to serve in a 300,000-person "partial mobilization" not seen since World War II.
As world leaders gathered at the United Nations in New York and condemned him, Russian President Vladimir Putin was back home, scrambling to refill his depleted war machine.
His foreign minister Sergey Lavrov was notably absent as the US Secretary of State Antony Blinken delivered a blistering soliloquy to the UN Security Council, documenting what he referred to as Russia's war crimes since February.
"If Russia stops fighting, the war ends. If Ukraine stops fighting, Ukraine ends," Blinken said, pledging the US would maintain its growing support for Ukraine.
While the news out of Russia seems very bad for Putin and the news out of Ukraine suggests the Ukrainian military continues to outperform all expectations, it is still hard to fathom a change of leadership there.
He is entrenched, as
we have written here before, until the government turns on him.
The same is not true in democracies, where leaders come and go. So it is worth also monitoring another geopolitical story out of the UN meeting in New York that may ultimately be one of the fragility of Western democracies.
In an exclusive US interview with CNN's Jake Tapper, French President Emmanuel Macron
warned of this crisis.
"I think we have [a] big crisis of democracies, of what I would call liberal democracies. Let's be clear about that. Why? First, because being open societies and being open and very cooperative democracies put pressure on your people. It could destabilize them," Macron said.
For more on this analysis,
click here: