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5:40 p.m. ET, January 17, 2019

Netflix by the (unverified) numbers

Our very own Frank Pallotta took a spin through the eye-popping Netflix numbers and had some thoughts.

But colleague Sandra Gonzalez adds a dash of healthy skepticism when it comes to measuring success in the streaming market. Back in December, when Netflix said that 45 million accounts had watched Bird Box, she threw some cold water on that news. She wrote:
"The watch-it-your-way flexibility of streaming presents challenges to anyone trying to draw a comparison to traditional film in regards to audience.
It would be difficult, for example, to say what the activity of 45 million accounts equates to in traditional box office terms. It's also unclear -- though presumable -- that the number reflects accounts that have accessed the film globally. (Netflix is currently available in more than 190 countries.)
Exactly how Netflix qualifies what counts as a viewing is another question. Does the figure account for those who accidentally play the film from an auto-play option? Does it log "viewers" who only watch a few seconds or the entire film?"

5:42 p.m. ET, January 17, 2019

Netflix stock dips after (slight) sales miss

Wall Street can be an unforgiving place. Streaming giant Netflix (NFLX) reported earnings for the fourth quarter that topped forecasts, added more subscribers than expected and gave solid guidance for subscriber growth in the first quarter.

However, Netflix's sales were just a tiny bit below Wall Street's consensus estimates. That's not good enough for a stock that had surged more than 25% already this year. Shares fell 4% in after hours trading. But make no mistake. There's nothing wrong with Netflix. It's just a victim of Dickensian Great Expectations. (By the way, the 1998 version of Great Expectations with Ethan Hawke, Gwyneth Paltrow and Robert De Niro is not available on Netflix.)

4:11 p.m. ET, January 17, 2019

Dow jumps 163 points as markets seesaw on trade news

Wall Street is really eager to get the trade war over with. 
The Dow closed 163 points higher on Thursday, but ended lower than the day’s highs. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq gained about 0.7%.
Investors cheered a Wall Street Journal report indicating Trump officials were deliberating whether to lift tariffs on China. But the rally faded and stocks gyrated as investors realized nothing concrete has been decided.

The Dow had been up as much as 267 points at one point.

Morgan Stanley (MS) declined 4% on disappointing results. Signet Jewelers (SIG) plummeted 25% after slashing its outlook.
6:06 p.m. ET, January 17, 2019

Markets jump on China tariff report but rally quickly fades

Wall Street briefly celebrated a report suggesting the Trump administration could dial back tariffs on China.

The Dow surged as much as 267 points on Thursday after the Wall Street Journal reported that US officials are debating whether to lift China tariffs. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 jumped 1.1% apiece.

But the rally quickly faded as investors realized nothing concrete has been decided. The Dow was recently up about 115 points.

The Treasury Department said in a statement that neither Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin nor top trade negotiator Robert Lighthizer have made "any recommendations to anyone" about China tariffs.

China-sensitive stocks like Caterpillar (CAT), Apple (AAPL) and Boeing (BA) gave up most of their earlier gains.

"This market is desperate for good news on trade progress," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B.Riley FBR. "You get a whiff of it and there's a pop. The problem is, then reality sets in."

12:03 p.m. ET, January 17, 2019

Midday market update: Stocks recover from early slide

US stocks improve after a poor showing at market open.

  • The Dow was about flat at midday after losing as much as 118 points earlier in the morning.
  • The Nasdaq rose 0.2%
  • The S&P 500 increased 0.2%
The Nasdaq recovered early losses, fueled by gains in tech. Netflix (NFLX), which reports earnings after the bell, was up on the day. Amazon (AMZN) and Facebook (FB) also made slight gains.
11:07 a.m. ET, January 17, 2019

Les Moonves demands his $120 million severance

Ousted CBS chief executive Les Moonves is fighting the company after it refused to give him a $120 million severance last month.
CBS said that Moonves is disputing the decision in arbitration, according to a filing made with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday.
Moonves was fired in September 2018 after several sexual misconduct allegations were made against him. The former executive denies "any non-consensual sexual relations," according to his lawyer.

In December, CBS said they had ample reason to fire Moonves — thus denying him severance.

The company said in Wednesday's government filing that it "does not intend to comment further on this matter during the pendency of the arbitration proceedings."

4:51 p.m. ET, January 17, 2019

Nobody's buying jewelry at the mall anymore

Every kiss apparently doesn't begin with Kay. And it looks like he didn't go to Jared. Or Zales for that matter. Signet, the retailer that owns all three of these mall-based jewelry chains as well as Piercing Pagoda, reported a 1.3% drop in same-store sales during the holidays and lowered its fourth-quarter outlook.

Signet's stock (SIG) plunged 20% following the less than glittering guidance Thursday. Shares have now lost more than half their value in the past year.
If it's any consolation, it looks like more affluent customers aren't spending as much on diamonds and pearls either. Tiffany (TIF) shares fell about 2% in early trading Thursday and have fallen about 25% in the past twelve months.
But Signet's bad news comes a day after it agreed to pay $11 million in penalties to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and state of New York to settle allegations that it set up customers with store credit cards without their permission.

9:42 a.m. ET, January 17, 2019

Stocks start in the red on trade, earnings

US stocks retreated at Thursday’s opening bell on renewed trade worries and disappointing earnings. 

  • The Dow lost as much as 118 points, or 0.4%, before more than halving its losses
  • The S&P 500 declined 0.1%
  • The Nasdaq fell 0.2%
Morgan Stanley (MS) slumped 5% on an earnings miss and tumbling trading revenue. Signet Jewelers (SIG) plunged 20% after reporting a drop in holiday sales, slashing outlook.
Energy stocks (XLE) fell as US oil prices lost 1.4% to $51.58 a barrel.

8:53 a.m. ET, January 17, 2019

Morgan Stanley drops after earnings miss

Morgan Stanley’s stock is sliding after it posted disappointing earnings from the last three months of 2018.

The investment bank reported $1.5 billion in profit from the fourth quarter, which was below analyst expectations. Trading revenue and income from its wealth management unit both fell.

Morgan Stanley (MS) shares were down more than 5% before market open, but recovered slightly.

The trading divisions at US banks struggled last quarter as market volatility encouraged some investors to stay on the sidelines. But the problem at most major banks was limited to bond trading. Morgan Stanley had issues trading both equities and bonds.

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